Immunophenotyping and machine learning identify distinct immunotypes that predict COVID-19 clinical severity (preprint)

Quantitative or qualitative differences in immunity may drive and predict clinical severity in COVID-19. We therefore measured modules of serum pro-inflammatory, anti-inflammatory and anti-viral cytokines in combination with the anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody response in COVID-19 patients admitted to tertiary care. Using machine learning and employing unsupervised hierarchical clustering, agnostic to severity, we identified three distinct immunotypes that were shown post-clustering to predict very different clinical courses such as clinical improvement or clinical deterioration. Immunotypes did not associate chronologically with disease duration but rather reflect variations in the nature and kinetics of individual patient’s immune response. Here we demonstrate that immunophenotyping can stratify patients to high and low risk clinical subtypes, with distinct cytokine and antibody profiles, that can predict severity progression and guide personalized therapy.

Effects of Potent Neutralizing Antibodies from Convalescent Plasma in Patients Hospitalized for Severe SARS-CoV-2 Infection. (preprint)

Convalescent plasma could be an inexpensive and widely available treatment for COVID-19 patients but reports on effectiveness are inconclusive. We collected convalescent plasma from donors with high titers of neutralizing anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies effectively blocking SARS-CoV-2 infection in vitro. In a randomized clinical trial of 86 COVID-19 patients, no overall clinical benefit of 300 mL convalescent plasma was found in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in the Netherlands. Using a comprehensive translational approach, we unraveled the virological and immunological responses following plasma treatment which helps to understand which COVID-19 patients may benefit from this therapy and should be the focus of future studies. Convalescent plasma treatment in this patient group did not improve survival, had no effect on the clinical course of disease, nor did plasma enhance viral clearance in the respiratory tract, influence anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody development or serum proinflammatory cytokines levels. The vast majority of patients already had potent neutralizing anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies at hospital admission and at comparable titers as the carefully selected plasma donors. Together, these data indicate that the variable effectivity observed in trials on convalescent plasma for COVID-19 may be explained by the timing of treatment and varying levels of preexisting anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunity in patients. It also substantiates that convalescent plasma should be studied as early as possible in the disease course or at least preceding the start of an autologous humoral response. Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT04342182